Tuesday, September 30, 2008

Investors see SA as too risky

Following the post about the financial turmoil that resulted when Manuel (pronounced money-well) resigned, comes further worrying news. Bugger the plasma screen, hold on to those pennies (that's what the rand is worth) and try to ride out the storm.

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About $2.16 (R17.3) billion has flooded out of the country so far this year as foreign investors sell off stocks and continue to shun emerging markets.

It was a bit like a mouse trying to calm a herd of frightened elephants.


With both the world financial markets and South Africa's political scene in turmoil, the country's new president went on national TV Sunday promising to avoid any sharp changes in economic policy.

The morning after Kgalema Motlanthe's speech, the rand currency slid even further. Investors are shunning emerging markets as just too risky.

A speech by Reserve Bank chief Tito Mboweni on Sept. 18 starkly exposed South Africa's vulnerability to the global economic turmoil. About 18 billion rand ($2.16 billion) has flooded out of the country so far this year as foreigners sold off stocks.

Motlanthe this month replaced President Thabo Mbeki, who was forced out by his African National Congress. Motlanthe is widely seen as a caretaker for ANC leader Jacob Zuma, who is likely to win the post in elections next year.

South Africa, an economic powerhouse in sub-Saharan Africa, exports commodities such as platinum, gold and diamonds. When the subprime crisis hit, South Africa initially weathered the storm well because its banks weren't exposed to the bad mortgage-related debt. But now it is suffering the secondary effects.

"We are seeing less capital being available in emerging markets generally and in particular South Africa," said Jac Laubscher, economist at Sanlam, a financial services group. "The fact we have a current-account deficit in excess of 7% means the financing of that current account becomes more of an issue, and there is a possibility of downward pressure on the rand."

Gold traditionally is a refuge for investors in time of turmoil, and the increase in gold prices is good for South Africa. But even more important to its economy is platinum, and its price has slumped about 50% since March.

"Platinum has overtaken gold as our most important export, and the platinum price has halved," Laubscher said, adding that increases in the gold price were unlikely to compensate.

South African gold trader Charles Leishman of Standard Bank said gold was being traded emotionally; platinum's price was falling because of weak industrial demand.

"They're actually very distinct, given the environment we're in the moment. [Platinum] is very demand driven. Gold at the moment is very emotionally driven.

"Nobody knows how long it [the global credit crisis] is going to go on for. You can inject all these billions of dollars but is that going to take the toxic sludge out of the system?"

3 held for killing rapist

The rape scourge in our country is out of control.

According to official statistics, one out of four South African women has been or will be raped. See United Nations Population Fund.

As far as crimes go, rape
is the most heinous reprehensible act short of homicide. Rape hits close to the bone because of its personal nature - and although most rapes do not end in death, the act of violating a human being's dignity is a death in kind and a trauma that lives with the victim for the remainder of their years - and also affects those who care for the victim. In addition, the prevalence of Aids means the victim is effectively given a death sentence.

I ask you to recall how violated you felt when you were burglarised or had your car stolen. The idea that someone had entered your space, violated your stuff - that feeling. Now imagine an attack on your daughter, or sister or mother.

I do not know what cultural traits breed creatures that garner the notion that they can violate other human beings. How do they become so psychopathic/ sociopathic that to them rape is as natural as eating?

I know what I would do to a rapist - precisely what these three people have done. Do you blame them? If the police and the justice system won't protect them, what choice do they have but to take the law into their own hands. Their mistake was reporting it to the police.

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Three people were arrested after they beat an alleged rapist to death, Eastern Cape police said.


"A couple in their fifties made a report at the Nemato police station on Saturday, saying that an attacker entered their house, and tried to rape their daughter," said Captain Mali Govender.

The couple told police they tried to ward off the attacker while he was trying to rape their daughter and they assaulted him.

"Police opened a case of attem
pted rape...and when they investigated further, they then found the body of the alleged rapist who was severely beaten."

The couple as well as their 27-year-old son were arrested.

ANCYL 'to smash' splinter group


Hmm, things between the two ANC factions appear to be ratcheting up a bit. Sit back, break out the popcorn and beer and enjoy the show. Isn't this fun? Honey, where's the remote..!

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The Limpopo ANC Youth League will do "everything in its power to smash" the formation of any party formed in support of ousted president Thabo Mbeki, it announced.

"Rumours [have] been doing the rounds that the launching pad for this party called the 'ANC Activist Forum' will be our province, Limpopo," said acting provincial secretary Goodman Mitileni.

According to Mitileni there was an African National Congress Activist Forum which would be a splinter group from the ANC, as a result of the sacking of Thabo Mbeki as president.

"We wish to state categorically that as the ANCYL in Limpopo we will do everything in our power to smash such a reactionary formation whose aim is to pursue selfish interests by individuals who could not serve the people of our country with diligence."

Mitileni said the members who were said to be behind the idea contended that the decision of the ANC National Executive Committee to recall Mbeki was not well informed and that they were sympathising with him.

He commended the ministers who heeded ANC president Jacob Zuma's request for them to stay in Cabinet and continue to serve the country in line with the 2004 election manifesto.

"We remain convinced that if at all this party will be formed it will be doomed like the PAC and UDM formed before them."

John McCain: Courageous Service

Defence force missing 15% key personnel

Good gawd, our friend Charlie "fuck off" Nkakakula is our new munista of defence. Well, seeing as he did such a sterling job in effing up the police, care to wager the state of the already pathetic SANDF in say, a year? It may not even take him that long.

That's right, give Charlie boy the keys to our spanking new subs and frigates and what could go wrong, right? Right?

Let's hope Mauritius doesn't decide to attack us.

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According to the 2007/2008 Defence Annual Report released this week, the South African National Defence Force (SANDF) is facing serious vacancy issues in key defence areas, which may be compromising our national security.

The new Minister of Defence, Charles Nqakula, must show that he means business by telling South Africa what he intends to do to resolve the problem.

Overall, the SANDF has a vacancy rate of 15.30% with the following critical programme vacancies:

* 37.45% in Defence Intelligence;
* 30.32% in Joint Support (peace support operations). If all the fit and combat-ready soldiers are out of the country, this, coupled with a high vacancy rate, compounds the problem of force readiness;
* 30.08% in Force Employment; and
* 16.20% in Air Defence.
The most critical occupations vacancy rates are:
* 42.75% in engineers;
* 36.95% in aircrew;
* 30.79% in air space control;
* 27.24% in anti-aircraft.
* 26.84% in nursing; and
* 18.50% in artillery.
What these vacancy figures mean is that our military force's readiness and capacity to respond to internal and external requirements is substantially compromised.

Not only are we facing serious issues with equipment suitability and resource shortages, but our day-to-day military functions are also not operating at full capacity. Such vacancy issues must also be affecting our ability to make use of the Arms Deal procurements.

People with skills and expertise are leaving the SANDF for greener pastures. With better retention strategies, we could be motivating such people to stay, instead of incurring the costs of replacing them.

Last year alone, more than 6,700 people left the SANDF and 1,660 of these were from critical occupations.

While the Military Skills Development System seeks to recruit and train new entrants into the military, these entrants have little
or no experience, and are no substitute for departing personnel with years of work and combat experience.

Statement issued by Rafeek Shah MP, Democratic Alliance spokesperson on defence.